报告题目：Climate-informed hydrologic modeling and policy typology to guide managed aquifer recharge
主讲人：何小刚
开始时间：2022年5月19日下午 14:00-17:00
讲座地址：安中大楼B332
主办单位：浙江大学建筑工程学院水科学与工程研究所
报告人简介：
何小刚博士现为新加坡国立大学土木环境工程系助理教授、博士生导师。何博士2019年毕业于普林斯顿大学土木环境工程系，之后在斯坦福大学Woods环境研究所从事博士后研究。主要研究方向: 气候变化和人类活动对水文极端事件（洪水、干旱、旱涝急转等）的影响，水-粮食-能源系统的耦合，以及深度不确定环境下的稳健决策分析等。何博士发表SCI论文40余篇，包括两篇Nature Communications (第一作者一篇)、两篇Science Advances (第一作者/通讯作者)。
研究成果被Bloomberg、USA Today、WIRED、The Straits Times、The Hill、Grist、Science Daily等国际主流媒体广泛报道。何博士兼任Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences国际SCI期刊编委，担任Nature、Nature Climate Change、Nature Food、Science Advances、Geophysical Research Letters、Water Resources Research等20多个国际期刊审稿人，并于2021年获美国地球物理学会Geophysical Research Letters优秀审稿人奖
报告摘要：
Harvesting floodwaters to recharge depleted groundwater aquifers can simultaneously reduce flood and drought risks and enhance groundwater sustainability. However, deployment of this multi-beneficial adaptation option is fundamentally constrained by how much water is available for recharge (WAFR) at present and under future climate change. Here we develop a climate-informed and policy-relevant framework to quantify WAFR, its uncertainty, and associated policy actions. Despite robust and widespread increases in future projected WAFR in our critical case study of California (56%/80% of sub-basins in 2070-2099 under RCP4.5/RCP8.5), strong nonlinear interactions between diversion infrastructure and policy uncertainties constrain how much WAFR can be captured. To tap future elevated recharge potential through infrastructure expansion under deep uncertainties, we outline a novel robustness-based policy typology to identify priority areas of investment needs. Our WAFR analysis can inform effective investment decisions to adapt to future climate-fueled drought and flood risk over depleted aquifers, in California and beyond.